PSG vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction, Tips & Odds – 07.05.2024
PSG vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction 07.05.2024. Due to missed opportunities in the first leg of the Champions League semi-finals, Paris Saint-Germain will try to correct their mistakes in the return match against Borussia Dortmund.
The French champions are just 90 minutes away from another European disappointment after losing 1-0 last week at Signal Iduna Park.
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PSG vs Borussia Dortmund Odds
PSG Team News
Since PSG failed to capitalize on numerous chances in the first game, particularly as Ousmane Dembele had a tough outing against his former club, Borussia Dortmund’s Niclas Füllkrug demonstrated a lesson in attacking efficiency to Luis Enrique’s squad. After 36 minutes of play, the German international brilliantly controlled a ball that Nico Schlotterbeck lobbed over the defense, then fired it forcefully underneath Gianluigi Donnarumma, scoring his third goal in this Champions League season, which is also his debut.
Dortmund has kept a clean sheet for the fifth time in the Champions League this season, and PSG’s inefficiency contributed to that. At least PSG had a free weekend from Ligue 1 commitments to prepare for the second leg on Tuesday, even though they had already secured the French league title. PSG has often struggled in the Champions League, but Enrique’s squad has already turned around a deficit against Barcelona in the quarterfinals, and they could now become the first team in tournament history to reach the final after losing the first quarterfinal and semifinal matches.
Seven games without a clean sheet in all competitions and just three wins in the last eight matches at Parc des Princes do not bode well for PSG. However, they haven’t failed to score at home since the opening weekend of the Ligue 1 season.
Unfortunately, PSG defender Lucas Hernandez faces unfulfilled dreams for Euro 2024, as he suffered a similar injury last week to the one that kept him out of the 2022 World Cup for France, ruling him out until 2025. Hernandez joins injured players Presnel Kimpembe, Layvin Kurzawa, and Sergio Rico. It’s possible that 20-year-old Lucas Beraldo could step in for Hernandez due to Milan Škriniar’s poor form. Because of the poor performances of Dembele and Bradley Barcola last week, Enrique might decide to try Marco Asensio, Lee Kang-in, or Gonçalo Ramos alongside Kylian Mbappe.
Borussia Dortmund Team News
Dortmund plans to end PSG’s 24-game scoring streak at Parc des Princes to secure a spot in the Champions League final. The team takes pride in their defensive prowess in this year’s European Cup, with five clean sheets—the most of any team in the competition. Securing a place in the final at Wembley would be a great way to rebound from recent setbacks in the Bundesliga, where Edin Terzić’s team drew with Bayer Leverkusen and lost 4-1 to RB Leipzig. However, the match against Augsburg at Signal Iduna Park was settled within the first 30 minutes.
A day after announcing he would leave the club at the end of the season, beloved Marco Reus lit up the Westfalenstadion with a goal and two assists in a 5-1 win. Youngster Youssoufa Moukoko, who might succeed Reus, added two goals of his own. Still, Dortmund is no longer under pressure to win the Champions League, as they have secured five Bundesliga spots in the Champions League thanks to their UEFA coefficient, and Terzić’s team will finish either fourth or fifth.
This relief won’t diminish the visiting team’s effort, even though their three previous matches at PSG’s ground ended in defeat without scoring any goals. In the last meeting in September, they lost 2-0, managing only one shot on target. A similarly dominant PSG performance would leave only Bayern or Real Madrid standing in the way of European glory.
Dortmund also had defensive injury issues last week. Right-back Julian Ryerson left the game due to cramps and didn’t play against Augsburg. Ramy Bensebaini, Julien Duranville, and Sebastien Haller also missed that match. Ryerson and Haller are expected to be ready for Tuesday, but Karim Adeyemi, who played a significant role in the first leg, was injured over the weekend and requires further evaluation. However, there’s hope he will be fit to play. If he is ready, Adeyemi will join other returning players for the second leg, including Jadon Sancho.
PSG vs Borussia Dortmund H2H
19.09.2023. PSG vs Borussia Dortmund 2:0
13.12.2023. Borussia Dortmund vs PSG 1:1
01.05.2024. Bourrisa Dortmund vs PSG 1:0
Injuries and suspensions
PSG: Lucas Hernandez, Presnel Kimpembe, Laywin Kurzawa, Sergio Rico
Borussia Dortmund: Ramy Bensebaini, Julier Duranville
Expected Lineups
PSG (4-3-3): Donnarumma; Hakimi, Marquinhos, Beraldo, Mendes; Ruiz, Vitinha, Zaire-Emery; Dembele, Ramos, Mbappe
Borussia Dortmund (4-2-3-1): Kobel; Ryerson, Hummels, Schlotterbeck, Maatsen; Sabitzer, Can; Sancho, Brandt, Adeyemi; Fullkrug
PSG vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction
PSG was its own worst enemy in front of goal during the first leg, and this season in the Champions League, they have hit the woodwork an astonishing 10 times. However, a timely break from domestic league duties allowed Enrique and his team to thoroughly analyze last week’s setback and prepare a plan. Dortmund’s key players are also well-rested, and the motivation to give Reus a farewell gift with a Champions League medal further fuels them. Two hours of play might not be enough to resolve this encounter, but the atmosphere at Parc des Princes could play a crucial role in a tense finish, where we believe PSG will keep their composure and secure their place in the final.
Kick-off Time: Tuesday, 07.05.2024, 9:00 PM Local Time (GMT +1), 21:00 CET
Prediction: PSG to Qualify
Odds (when tipped): 1.70
Sportsbook: Mozzart
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